The NFL is finally back, and if there’s one thing we’ve learned over the years, it’s that every week writes its own unpredictable story. Surprises happen—sometimes good, sometimes bad—and fantasy football managers are left scrambling to figure out what’s real and what’s just a one-week blip. If you’re trying to sort through the noise in Week 1, you’re not alone. Let’s break down a few situations where you shouldn’t be shocked if things unfold differently than expected.
Don’t Be Surprised If Trevor Lawrence and Bryce Young Both Land in the Top 10
The Jacksonville Jaguars and Carolina Panthers might not scream “must-watch” on the NFL schedule—especially after combining for just nine wins last season—but this game has real fantasy juice.
Let’s start with Trevor Lawrence. Somehow, he’s still rostered in only about a third of ESPN standard leagues, which feels criminal given his track record. Yes, his 2024 season was cut short by a shoulder injury, but let’s not forget he finished as QB7 in 2022 and just outside the top 10 in 2023. With a better offensive line, an upgraded coaching staff, and the addition of Heisman-winning WR Travis Hunter, Lawrence has every reason to bounce back. Against a still-questionable Panthers defense, this could be one of those weeks where he reminds fantasy managers why he was the No. 1 overall pick.
And then there’s Bryce Young. Late last season, Young flipped the switch. He became a legitimate fantasy weapon by using his legs more, racking up five rushing touchdowns in his final six games. He also tossed seven touchdowns across the last three weeks and averaged nearly 27 fantasy points per game down the stretch. If that version of Young shows up against Jacksonville, fantasy managers could be looking at two quarterbacks cracking the top 10 in the same matchup. Don’t be surprised if this turns into a sneaky shootout.
Quick QB notes that might fly under the radar:
- Patriots QB Drake Maye looks set for a sophomore leap with better coaching and weapons around him. His Week 1 matchup against the Raiders is a soft landing spot.
- Caleb Williams could struggle out of the gate against a tough Vikings defense, but don’t panic—he’s still a long-term stud.
- Matthew Stafford is reportedly healthy enough to start, but if you’re in a deep league, stash Jimmy Garoppolo just in case.
Don’t Be Surprised If Austin Ekeler Is Washington’s Go-To Back
Most fantasy managers are still buzzing about rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt in Washington, especially after the team traded Brian Robinson Jr. to San Francisco. But here’s the thing—Austin Ekeler is still there, and he might just be the guy to trust.
Last year, Washington didn’t use Ekeler to his full potential, which was puzzling given that he averaged an impressive 4.8 yards per carry and still flashed big-play ability. With Robinson gone, the assumption is that the rookie takes over, but don’t bet on it happening right away. Croskey-Merritt could see limited touches while the Commanders lean on the proven veteran. Expect Ekeler to get plenty of snaps against the Giants, especially in the passing game, where he’s always been a fantasy goldmine.
He already torched New York for nearly 30 points in two matchups last year—so don’t be shocked if he does it again.
Other RB thoughts worth watching:
- Miami rookie Ollie Gordon II could see significant work against the Colts, especially with De’Von Achane limited by a calf injury.
- Chargers rookie Omarion Hampton might not get the volume some expect—Najee Harris is healthy and Jim Harbaugh trusts his veterans.
- Patriots newcomer TreVeyon Henderson could quickly overtake Rhamondre Stevenson, who’s already looking like waiver-wire material in some leagues.
- Cleveland’s Jerome Ford is criminally underrated. Keep him rostered and don’t sleep on Quinshon Judkins once he’s officially in the fold.
Final Takeaway
Every NFL season starts with hype, breakout predictions, and plenty of fantasy uncertainty. The truth is, Week 1 usually delivers a mix of validation and shock. Don’t be surprised if Trevor Lawrence and Bryce Young both put up top-10 fantasy performances, or if Austin Ekeler reminds everyone he’s not ready to give up lead-back duties.
One thing is certain: those who stay a step ahead of the trends in September are usually the ones smiling in December.
